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BIZAUTO
BULLETIN 98.2
Crystal
Ball Time, '98
 Guest
Viewpoint: The MIllennium
Crisis . . . Time is Running Out
Past Bulletins
Presentation:
Virtual Offices and the Virtual Organization |
FROM THE EDITOR:
1998 PREDICTIONS
[originally published 1/19/98. Check to see
how we're doing so far]
Some perspective. One of my '97
predictions was the that at least one of the "big iron" computer manufacturers
would belly up before December 31. I was wrong.
Having suffered terrible financial results throughtout 1997, Digital
Equipment's takeover by Compaq was announced on January 26, 1998 . . .
26 days too late to make my prediction. I hope my predictions
will be more accurate this year. Here they are:
-
IF YOU BUILD IT (a web site),
THEY WILL BUY. At least
half of those who use the web regularly will use it to buy products or
services in '98. Those
who measure say about 27% buy now. This will about double. 1998 will
be the breakthrough year for net-based commerce.
-
GIVE 'EM THE SECOND DECREE.
Microsoft and the Department of Justice
will settle their current dispute with another consent decree.
It, too, will be criticized as overly lenient . . . and it, too, will be
criticized as being too lenient . . . and Microsoft will again be accused
of violating it (but not until '99).
-
FOR THE GEEK WHO HAS EVERYTHING.
Many top-of-the-line notebook PCs will
come standard with wireless or two-way satellite modems for Internet access.
Cool!
-
NOW YOU SEE IT, NOW YOU DON'T.
There will be a major news story
involving the recovery of erased or missing computer data.
Maybe political fundraising, maybe Whitewater
. . . possibly even some international or diplomatic event.
-
READY OR NOT, HERE IT COMES.
Windows 98 will be delivered in '98, but
not until quite late in the year.
Expect it mid to late fourth quarter. Microsoft isn't about to have
its flagship Windows product come out in the wrong year.
Check out Crystal
Ball Time, 1998 to see how I did on my '97 predictions.
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